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Stratfor’s Annual Forecast 2012

January 12, 2012 (Vietnamica) –There are periods when the international system undergoes radical shifts in a short time. The last such period was 1989-1991. During that time, the Soviet empire collapsed. The Japanese economic miracle ended. The Maastricht Treaty creating contemporary Europe was signed. Tiananmen Square defined China as a market economy dominated by an unchallenged Communist Party, and so on. Fundamental components of the international system shifted radically, changing the rules for the next 20 years.

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China’s Low-Wage Export Engine Starts to Sputter

Sept 6, 2011 (Wall Street Journal) — UBS Economist Jonathan Anderson, a sharp analyst of the Chinese economy, believes he’s uncovered a “pretty convincing turning point” in China’s development model. For decades, Beijing has relied on super-low wages to win a bigger slice of global exports and help turn a poor country into the world’s second largest economy.

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